TOPIC:

As predicted, the big boys flexed yesterday! Both Peel and East Freo showed they are the teams to beat with dominating performances and the other 4 contenders have a bit of work do. 

Huge game coming up for Swans and EF next week with the winner to be in the box seat for a top 3 spot. 

you can put a line through South Fremantle it just isn't going to happen
unless some serious other results occur 

East Perth could be crueled by injuries again denting their premiership hopes. Apparently dominant ruckman Jones and Brayshaw missed the second half yesterday with foot injuries.

Peel will benefit by Fremantle running deep into September which I believe they will, allowing them to play up to 19 AFL listed players I think it is. But the WAFL GF is the week after the AFL GF so will only be able to play a maximum of 12 Fremantle players then or after Fremantle are knocked out.

SF look done. Could be an EF v SD GF if the cards fall their way. Trouble is they might be playing one another to advance earlier than the GF but both look in great shape as far as injuries are concerned.

Interestingly Perth beat Swans in round 3 and should have beaten EF at Claremont Oval without a couple of our off season recruits. That's how close a season it's been. Luck and good fortune with injuries plays a big part.

Final places on the ladder will largely be determined by 5 games played over the next 3 weeks.
Next week  EF v SD and SF v PT
Week after: PT V SD and EP v EF
Last Round PT V EP
Of course the 4 sides out of the running can play spoiler by causing an upset or two which would shake up the final ladder.
If things go as expected, Peel Thunder and East Perth may well be playing off for top spot on the last day of the qualifying round

 

After a dismal derby the most likely team to fall out of contention is SF, unless they can pull of a miracle win v PT which is highly unlikely. Claremont look certain to jump into 5th spot.

I think Danger has called it pretty much bang on, to me its Peel Dockers to lose from here, they are just warming up.

DD wrote:

East Perth could be crueled by injuries again denting their premiership hopes. Apparently dominant ruckman Jones and Brayshaw missed the second half yesterday with foot injuries.

Peel will benefit by Fremantle running deep into September which I believe they will, allowing them to play up to 19 AFL listed players I think it is. But the WAFL GF is the week after the AFL GF so will only be able to play a maximum of 12 Fremantle players then or after Fremantle are knocked out.

SF look done. Could be an EF v SD GF if the cards fall their way. Trouble is they might be playing one another to advance earlier than the GF but both look in great shape as far as injuries are concerned.

Interestingly Perth beat Swans in round 3 and should have beaten EF at Claremont Oval without a couple of our off season recruits. That's how close a season it's been. Luck and good fortune with injuries plays a big part.

It's actually the other way around DD... WAFL GF is the week before the AFL GF.

WAFL GF is Sunday Sep 22
AFL GF is Saturday Sep 28

Crunch day for South Fremantle tomorrow. They need to beat Peel to maintain their place in the top 5. Otherwise they will drop out and may find it difficult to get back in given that Claremont play bottom 4 teams in their last 3 games.

South all but done for the finals. Claremont will need a slip up v Lions.

What a great finish to the season next weekend. Top 2 sides playing off for a minor premiership.......4 sides battling for a finals bound top 5 spot......and 3 sides looking to escape the spoon. Can't ask for a better crescendo to a H&A season than that.

No one can afford to bring less than their A game next weekend. SD could drop from 3rd to 6th, if results go against them, EF could drop from 4th to 6th if results go against them. Cl could drop to 6th if they lose and SF win.....or everything could stay the same, if all those 4 clubs win their final H&A games.

To top it off, Peel and EP colts fight it out for a spoon and the their league boys fight it out for a minor premiership......talk about a tale of 2 extremes.....

 

For Swans there are 3 most likely scenarios.

- win, get the double chance and play the loser of EP and Peel in week 1 of finals. 
- lose, finish 5th and would likely play Claremont away if the Tigers win as expected. 
- lose and finish 6th if South win by plenty. 

Have crunched some numbers and if Swans do happen to lose and South win then the spread between the 2 margins can’t be more than 40 ie swans lose by 20 and South win by 20. 40 would have Swans hanging on by under 1%, I think but am not certain.